Oligarchs, demonstrators … are unprecedented anti-Putin protests emerging in Russia?

While many protests against the war in Ukraine have recently been organized in Russia, pressure from civil society and the Russian oligarchs is becoming more and more pronounced.

War in Ukraine, day 5. The first talks between Russian and Ukrainian delegations at the Belarusian border this Monday will continue to attack Vladimir Putin’s troops on the ground, but will encounter resistance from local troops as well as local troops. Ukrainian citizens who organize themselves a little more every day. On Sunday, when more than 100 people were killed in the conflict and 500,000 were evacuated on the Ukrainian side, Vladimir Putin decided to further strengthen the escalation of terrorism while wielding the threat of nuclear deterrence.

In Russian society, the idea of ​​the Ukrainian war itself seems to be more and more divided. Recently, dozens of rallies officially banned due to health threats have been recorded in major Russian cities, including St. Petersburg and Moscow, where conflict opponents met at Pushkin Square. A total of more than 6,000 enemies were arrested by police.

“We are at the beginning of something”

The beginning of a wave of great opposition to Vladimir Putin and his government?If it’s still early to say, “We’re at the beginning of something that can be snowballed, but it’s a small part of the population,” said Lukas Aubin, Iris (Institute of Institute of) on BFMTV.com. International and Strategic Relations), Russian Geopolitical Expert and Book Author Sportokratura under Vladimir Putin: Geopolitics of Sports.

“It suggests that there is a perception that there is no cause for this war that is not understood by the public. There is no reason for terms like” denazification “or” demilitarization. ” do.

On the spot, a small center of protest is growing day by day, as evidenced by the arrest. In fact, the Russians did not anticipate a major attack on their Ukrainian neighbors, but targeted operations in the eastern part of the country to help Russian-speaking people.

Awkward opposition

However, due to the very composition of Russian society and its political caste, adversaries are difficult to organize and are fragmented opponents. Opponents of the Kremlin or Vladimir Putin’s unification Russian party line are silent. This was the case for Alexei Navalny, who had been imprisoned for several months. This requires strong censorship of some of the powers in force, especially in the media.

“Russia’s information space is becoming more and more blank. It’s not the same information as Europe, it’s much more opaque, and conflicts are concentrated in eastern Ukraine. They don’t have the same image,” Lucas confirms. To do. Obin.

Of the major Russian media, only the major opposition newspapers Novaya Gazeta, Fully opposed Putin’s attack on the bilingual front page. “RUSSIA.BOMBARDED. UKRAINE” can be read on its front page. The illustration is a simple black background. In addition, anti-war petitions at change.org have won over 750,000 signatures in two days.

Rebellion by sports?

As Lucas Orbin further explains, some signs that have emerged since the beginning of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine show some progress in Russia’s protests. “There are dozens of Russian athletes who oppose the war, not Putin,” he explains.

“Usually, athletes are completely new because they don’t express themselves because they are at risk of suspension from clubs and federations. This speech suggests that it will affect more people.”

In any case, sports should certainly play a very important role in the challenge of Vladimir Putin. Ukrainians return to the forehead this weekend in honor of club assistant coach Andriy Voronin, alongside a football match between Dynamo Moscow and FK Khimki. it was done.

According to Lucas Orbin, it’s very new and far from the trivial facts. “In general, Putin tries to manage the stand. It’s one of his sports policy frameworks. He wants this space of protest to be a space of Russian patriotism. It’s a controlled space. , He has an overflow. “, He explains.

Oligarchy threat

In Russia, you can also challenge yourself through a very strong oligarchy in the country. To date, due to numerous international sanctions, the journal Forbes shows that 116 Russian billionaires have already lost nearly $ 100 billion since February 16. What creates a fad of distrust of the regime?

“It’s perfectly possible,” Lucas Obin predicts. “This is still early, but as the elements suggest, there are certain voices in the political and oligarchy caste. There are rumors and rumors from the corridors.”

According to him, the example of billionaire Roman Abramovich speaks of volume. “He attended a meeting in Belarus and has many connections with the Ukrainian Jewish community. Not only is it a tragedy, but he wants to end this war because it threatens his financial interests. “Masu,” the expert adds.

This Monday, other millionaires also heard their voices. This is the case of Oleg Deripaska, who sought the end of Russia’s “state capitalism” in the face of the crisis caused by Western sanctions.

“It’s a real crisis there, and we need a real crisis manager (…) It’s absolutely necessary to change economic policy and end all this state capitalism,” said Millionaire Aluminum. Written in Telegram, the founder of the giant Rusal.

Unlike 2014, the first sanctions adopted following Moscow’s annexation of Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula, “you can’t just wait,” continued businessman, one of Russia’s 50 wealthiest people. rice field.

Another Russian billionaire, Oleg Tinkov, founder of the Bank of Tinkoff, also criticized the invasion of Ukraine in a post on Monday.

“Today, in Ukraine, innocent people die every day. It’s unthinkable and unacceptable!” He said on Instagram, “for research to defeat cancer, not war.” To spend money to treat people. “

Jean-Didier Levoin and Hugo Septier